Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.122883 0.135840 0.149138 0.163776 0.179408 0.195573 0.213524
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.107221 0.127408 0.149152 0.174182 0.202064 0.232037 0.266561
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.095564 0.120944 0.149438 0.183471 0.222684 0.266129 0.317576
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.082497 0.110800 0.143819 0.184586 0.232968 0.287970 0.354627
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.069930 0.099566 0.135441 0.181138 0.236856 0.301678 0.381853
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.064222 0.095981 0.135608 0.187355 0.251797 0.328109 0.423960
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.058646 0.091861 0.134521 0.191536 0.263933 0.351049 0.461985
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.053267 0.087389 0.132463 0.194054 0.273696 0.370961 0.496385
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.048006 0.082519 0.129401 0.194861 0.280994 0.387672 0.526861
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.047600 0.084451 0.135459 0.207698 0.303840 0.423993 0.581948
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.043974 0.081307 0.134246 0.210591 0.313657 0.443922 0.616767
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.041201 0.079174 0.134234 0.214954 0.325329 0.466232 0.654730
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.037204 0.075011 0.131357 0.215621 0.332618 0.483748 0.687878
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.036092 0.075399 0.135166 0.225831 0.353090 0.518845 0.744235
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.035031 0.075762 0.138905 0.236003 0.373692 0.554435 0.801741
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.031851 0.072207 0.136415 0.236946 0.381426 0.573005 0.837258
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.027829 0.066748 0.130598 0.232673 0.381632 0.581416 0.859484
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.026658 0.066303 0.132622 0.240034 0.398268 0.611977 0.911064
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.025097 0.064969 0.133097 0.244994 0.411501 0.638053 0.956950
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.023293 0.062979 0.132348 0.247983 0.421875 0.660298 0.997917
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.021287 0.060366 0.130378 0.248939 0.429225 0.678413 1.033476
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.021837 0.063014 0.137442 0.264194 0.457698 0.725913 1.108928
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.020415 0.061404 0.137063 0.267625 0.468780 0.749439 1.152250